(12-10-2017, 04:35 PM)ksir Wrote: (12-10-2017, 02:45 PM)sgmystique Wrote: (11-10-2017, 05:42 PM)karlmarx Wrote: Indeed it has. Whether these purchases make sense or not, only time can tell. Perhaps they are privy to certain information?
Personally, I firmly believe in investing based only on a company's merits, and not what the market participants are doing. While many opportunities may be lost this way, I find it easier to sleep at night; which makes for a more sustainable practice.
In this case it seems very obvious that somebody seems to know what is happening behind the scenes and is buying in anticipation.
Very difficult for the layman to have conviction in such a story till the story is out!!!
It could be or if the buyers are exactly the ones trying to implement change by control!!?
BBR is always undervalued in numbers but trapped in quality of the management (probably due to different incentive of management and the parent co).
So in order to realise the value, a quick way is to change the management quality.
How to change management? Acquired stakes big enough to control the company?!
errr what do you mean by "probably due to different incentive of management and the parent co"?
BBR has no parent company to talk about.
Their largest shareholder is a holding company that's controlled by various members of their current management team and directors. It's not the parent company, it's just a holding company, no different from if you and I incorporate a company to hold shares.
And in reply to the earlier comments...
Yep, the layman wouldn't know or have conviction.
And that's the gist of the whole game isn't it?
The layman needs to "invest based only on a company's merits" in order to "sleep well at night."
The problem is, when a company's merits are apparent, guess what, the share price reflects it. Unless it is only apparent to you only, and nobody else sees it or believes in it. In which case, you wouldn't be "the layman"
If the share price reflects the company's apparent merits, then the best you can hope for as a shareholder, is to participate in the future growth of the company (that's not been realized yet, and is not factored into the share price, and in which case, you wouldn't anticipate it either, but can only hope for it)
So at any 1 point, you're paying what is deemed as fair value based on the "apparent merits" that presumably everyone knows about already, and hoping that future news are favorable and participating in that growth.
And if that's your sole modus operandi, i.e. your investment is based on participation in just future growth, and paying a fair value for the current "apparent merits", (vs taking up positions when there is a gap between the price and what you personally deem to be the intrinsic value) then I'd think there's a strong case for just indexing and passive investing, instead of active.
If one is actively investing, surely the ultimate goal is to beat a passive instrument, usually some broad based index. If not that, then what else?
And if the goal is to beat a passive instrument, then you surely have to rely on something to find things that are not apparent merits yet. (superior due diligence? More intense effort? Better judgement? More accurate interpretation of widely available data? Competitive advantage by having experience in the industry? <Gasp> insider information? whatever) and take up positions which are unpopular and/or neglected, and hope that in time to come, or in the presence of a catalyst, the market recognizes what you've been saying all this while, and accords a much higher fair value to it.
You can do various variants of this, by being activist (creating the catalyst yourself), or by being the traditional passive investor (believing that someday the catalyst would come as long as you buy at substantially below the intrinsic value), but ultimately, it still means that you'd need to take up positions when the merits are not widely obvious yet.