Fraser & Neave (F & N)

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Yes, indeed, it is going to be a good and interesting show... Big Grin

At the mean time, let me share analyst opinion from CIMB, rating Outperform, and TP $10.03

Fraser & Neave - What if FNN is kept listed?
We estimate investors will be getting its property business at a 41% discount to RNAV. Unit sales have risen since the takeover saga began, with unbooked presales now at S$3.3bn. F&B profits have also recovered. Around 39% of its value is backed by APB cash proceeds. We lower our FY13-15 core EPS by 8-36% to factor in the sale of APB. We lift our target price (still pegged at a 20% discount to its property RNAV) on higher property and F&B values. Early signs suggest FNN will remain listed – it is still an investable stock with strong property growth potential, adequate free-float market cap and potential for higher dividends. Clarity on the group’s strategic direction is the wildcard.
Maintain Outperform.

http://remisiers.org/cms_images/research...052013.pdf
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
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And the results are out and the most important announcement buried at the very last slide is the proposed capital reduction/cash distribution of $3.28 by 31 July 2013 (subjected to approval)

Slides
Financial figures
Press Release
You can count on the greed of man for the next recession to happen.
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http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/V...70038E7E2/$file/Group_Financials_1H2013.pdf?openelement

Old Friends, New Towkay, New Ideas - F&N 130 Years - Trusted By Generations

Div cut from 6 cents to 3.5 cents, proposed capital reduction of S$3.28, 84% of APB sales proceeds.

Good news or in the price?

Vested
GG
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Congratulations to shareholders! Good news for the Capital Reduction. It's basically the same as a special dividend, haha.

(Not Vested)
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
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(10-05-2013, 07:11 PM)LionFlyer Wrote: And the results are out and the most important announcement buried at the very last slide is the proposed capital reduction/cash distribution of $3.28 by 31 July 2013 (subjected to approval)

Slides
Financial figures
Press Release

Haha.. Almost fell off my chair when I saw that the Mid-Year Dividend had been reduced from last year's 6ct to 3.5ct plus no mention of any Special Dividend...Big Grin



(10-05-2013, 07:18 PM)greengiraffe Wrote: http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/V...70038E7E2/$file/Group_Financials_1H2013.pdf?openelement

Old Friends, New Towkay, New Ideas - F&N 130 Years - Trusted By Generations

Div cut from 6 cents to 3.5 cents, proposed capital reduction of S$3.28, 84% of APB sales proceeds.

Good news or in the price?

Vested
GG

Almost 100% of the $4.8Bil Gain from Disposal of APB (figure from the report posted by 'CityFarmer' earlier). I calculated per share = $3.33
Luck & Fortune Favours those who are Prepared & Decisive when Opportunity Knocks
------------ 知己知彼 ,百战不殆 ;不知彼 ,不知己 ,每战必殆 ------------
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This is why I said it is buried right at the end. hahaha.
You can count on the greed of man for the next recession to happen.
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(10-05-2013, 07:23 PM)KopiKat Wrote:
(10-05-2013, 07:11 PM)LionFlyer Wrote: And the results are out and the most important announcement buried at the very last slide is the proposed capital reduction/cash distribution of $3.28 by 31 July 2013 (subjected to approval)

Slides
Financial figures
Press Release

Haha.. Almost fell off my chair when I saw that the Mid-Year Dividend had been reduced from last year's 6ct to 3.5ct plus no mention of any Special Dividend...Big Grin

I didn't fall off my chair, because i saw capital reduction announcement before the financial report. Tongue

The capital reduction amount is $4.73 bil, more than $4 bil i had anticipated. It is almost 100% of APB gain. The Towkay needs the money badly. Big Grin

Yet to digest the detail of the announcement ...
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
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The Straits Times
www.straitstimes.com
Published on May 11, 2013
F&N to return $4.73b to shareholders

Bulk of $3.28-a-share payout, from APB sale, to go to TCC and ThaiBev

By Yasmine Yahya

FRASER & Neave (F&N) is planning to return some $4.73 billion to shareholders in a capital distribution that follows the sale of its Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) unit.

The distribution, of $3.28 a share, "completes the plan articulated by the previous board to reward shareholders with the gains from the disposal of APB", it said.

It was announced as F&N unveiled its second-quarter results yesterday.

The bulk of this payout will go to TCC Assets and Thai Beverage, the vehicles of Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi who took over F&N earlier this year.

The conglomerate completed its divestment of APB in November last year, realising a gain of $4.8 billion in the process.

F&N was also itself the target of two rival takeover offers, which resulted in it having to pay one-off charges of $72 million.

This includes the $50 million break-up fee that F&N paid to Overseas Union Enterprise - Mr Charoen's vanquished rival in the takeover tussle.

As a result of the one-off charges, F&N posted a 45 per cent slide in its second-quarter net profit from the same period a year earlier to $47.1 million. Its revenue, however, increased 17 per cent in the second quarter to $912 million, as sales in most of its business units improved.

F&N's dairies business recorded a 17 per cent jump in revenue from a year ago, as sales and production in Thailand recovered from the massive floods which had caused the dairy plant to temporarily cease production in the first half of the last financial year.

Revenue in its commercial property unit rose 13 per cent, as both existing and newly acquired serviced residences contributed positively; development property revenue increased 36 per cent due to higher revenue recognition on development projects in Singapore.

F&N's net asset value stood at $8.80 at the end of March, from $5.32 as of last Sept 30.

Earnings per share rose to 7.2 cents for the second quarter from six cents a year earlier.

The outlook for F&N's food and beverage business remains uncertain, the firm said, but the property market is still strong.

"The food & beverage segment expects key raw materials and energy costs to continue to be volatile and has locked in key raw material prices over the mid-term. It will continue to monitor closely and take steps to mitigate any effects of rising costs," F&N said.

"Recognition of income from pre-sold units in Singapore and overseas will continue to support group earnings in the next 12 months."

F&N fell eight cents to close at $8.88 yesterday.

yasminey@sph.com.sg
--------------------

The Straits Times
www.straitstimes.com
Published on May 11, 2013
The F&N saga: Ensuring the best outcome

By Lee Su Shyan Money Editor

AS SHARE prices go, Fraser & Neave's (F&N) $8.88 close yesterday is about as auspicious as it gets, although its former investors might not be so upbeat.

The stock is now not far off from the final offer price of $9.55 that Thai tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi put on the table in January.

F&N shareholders who cashed out then may have some regrets, especially if Mr Charoen takes the company to new heights.

Spare a thought, too, for some OCBC shareholders who are still upset over the bank's move to sell its F&N stake months after the deal was done. One shareholder suggested at the bank's recent annual general meeting (AGM) that OCBC erred in selling the stake too soon and too cheaply.

That question initially arose when the deal was announced last July. OCBC and insurer Great Eastern (GE) would sell their separate stakes for $8.88 per share to Thai Beverage. Their holdings in Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) were to be sold for $45 per share to Kindest Place Groups, a company owned by Mr Charoen's son-in- law.

Mr Charoen later upped his F&N offer to $9.55 per share while Heineken eventually had to pay $53 per share for APB, meaning that OCBC and GE missed out on a tidy sum of a few hundred million dollars.

The disgruntled OCBC shareholder at the AGM was told that the Thai offer was unsolicited and at a good price. It also came as a package - the offer was for both the F&N and APB holdings.

But there could have been another pressing reason OCBC agreed to the sale - a looming deadline.

Monetary Authority of Singapore rules that came into effect in 2001 state that a bank cannot hold more than 10 per cent of a company in a non-financial business.

OCBC Bank had already reduced the level of its non-core assets in part by selling stakes in Raffles Hotel and Robinson & Co.

But F&N was still a large enough asset that needed to be pared, sources suggest.

One way to bring down OCBC's exposure to F&N was simply by offloading more of its stake.

Another way would be if F&N became a smaller company by selling off some of its interests.

Mr Charoen, with his extensive interests in beer and property, probably saw a neat fit and came knocking, as early as 2009 apparently.

He was drawn by the the flourishing property arm and the brewing business - APB's expansion was steaming ahead in Laos and other parts of the region and F&N itself had a toehold in the Myanmar brewing sector.

Mr Charoen was turned down then but by last year, and with the clock ticking, he was in the right place at the right time, with his offer of $8.88 for the

F&N shares and $45 for APB stock.

Observers said the offer prices could well have been the tipping point for the Lee family, who have long held key stakes in both F&N and APB. The three sons of the second generation are now in their 80s and few, if any, in the third generation were keen to oversee the companies. It was time to tidy up the portfolio.

"One was the record price - that price had never been achieved before," a source said.

OCBC and GE also probably knew that it was now or never, in terms of getting what looked to be a handsome price.

It is not clear why Mr Charoen was turned away in 2009. There was probably still some resistance to selling off more of the company.

It is possible that F&N was still evaluating the alternative of how it could restructure itself but breaking up the group was considered heresy by the old guard at the conglomerate.

Former group chief executive Han Cheng Fong was said to be strongly against any break-up. "Over my dead body", is how some insiders described the depth of his opposition to the proposal.

His sudden exit in 2007 was rumoured to be partly caused by his hostility to the idea.

The mood changed after Mr Lee Hsien Yang came on board in October 2007.

Probably, the reason no group CEO was appointed after Dr Han left was a sign that a break-up was at least on the table for discussion. Instead, there were CEOs for the individual business units, such as Mr Lim Ee Seng running the Frasers Centerpoint real estate business, Mr Roland Pirmez for APB, which grew very strongly over this period, and Mr Koh Poh Tiong, who ran F&N's food and drinks business.

But selling off different parts of the business was probably easier said than done, partly because the conglomerate had become so valuable.

Selling off the beer business was complicated as APB was a joint venture with Heineken, which showed it would go all out to protect its interests.

Even Overseas Union Enterprise, headed by Mr Stephen Riady, eyed the property business but only managed to make a counter-bid late in Mr Charoen's campaign, as part of a consortium.

And the directors recognised that conglomerates have their advantages: The sheer size helps provide a stable income stream and deters would-be corporate predators while a larger entity, rather than several separate smaller units, finds it easier to raise money from banks and capital markets.

But whether a break-up was on the cards, in the last few years, F&N shook off its somewhat staid image and came into its own.

The relationship between F&N and its joint venture partner Heineken went back on an even keel, allowing for a better focused expansion plan for APB.

F&N also became a player to be reckoned with on the property front with its serviced apartment and development business. It gained a reputation with its well-managed suburban malls, like Causeway Point and Northpoint.

Whether it was partly solid management or the prospects of tapping into a fast-emerging Asia, F&N had become a desirable prize by last year.

At the final offer price of $9.55 a share, F&N's market capitalisation was more than $13 billion. Its share price had more than doubled since 2007 when Mr Lee joined the board.

People close to the company said once the stock was in play - after the shareholders such as OCBC Bank opted to get out - the board's focus was to make sure it obtained the best outcome for F&N and its shareholders.

That meant either making sure that Mr Charoen put in as attractive a bid as possible, or encouraging competitive bidding so that other bidders - Mr Riady and the consortium, in this case - entered the fray.

When Mr Charoen finally raised his offer to $9.55, all four of the F&N directors who held stock said they would accept the offer.

This included Mr Lee, who said that he would tender his 180,000 shares. Fellow directors Timothy Chia, Tan Chong Meng and Nicky Tan also agreed to accept the offer.

The irony is that F&N is now controlled by Mr Charoen, and the TCC Group, the foreigner and ultimate outsider, may yet keep it intact as one of Asia's great conglomerates.

sushyan@sph.com.sg
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
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I like the new PR initiatives - F&N 130 Years Trusted By Generations.

The capital reduction is a balance between prudence and sharing. However, F&N without Tiger lacks the stability going forward as the remaining businesses are cyclical - F&B division included.

I am inclined to lock in gains gifted by SorChais on the news of capital reduction.

I think the shrewed new ThaiKay will do well over the long term but in this case, I will prefer to be opportunistic.

GG
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Reviewing the F&N story of mine... previously factored in excess cash of $4 billion, with the rest as additional WC...but a pleasant surprise from Towkay that he needs lesser WC with excess cash of $4.73 billion.

Updated valuation to $9.00-9.50, and hopefully more pleasant surprises from Towkay, and will do updates accordingly...

With advise from guru below, should I end the story soon, or still room for more...? especially another guru GG seems calling the day soon Tongue Well, probably wait till 18 Jul... Big Grin

"The party is not gonna last forever. Is it possible for Cinderella to leave the ball before MN when she's so busy enjoy herself? Worst still, she can't even see any physical clock"
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
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