(22-02-2016, 02:07 PM)jjlim84 Wrote: one case doesn't represent the whole. Based on common sense, 70% is ridiculous, if it's really true, a lot of home owners will be in trouble
The tender was for land, which is only one component of cost of a finished flat. On Hong Kong Island it will be a big % of the total cost, but much less so out in Tai Po, well out in the NT. Secondhand flats are off maybe 10% to 15% from the peak last year - difficult to tell, as there are few transactions. A house on HK Island just sold for 'only' HK$830m, when they were expecting over HK$1b.
There is a big supply of flats coming on-stream - just like Singapore. Combine economic weakness, in Hong Kong and China with boost in supply, and prices are bound to come down. Especially if the US raises interest rates, although that is not so certain now.
Overall, it will be a good thing. Prices were just too high for the ordinary families. Last year, my flat in the NT was 'worth' 6 times what I paid for it in 2003. 6x in 12 years. That is insane. Some people, who have bought in the last 4 years will get burned, but the majority of homeowners bought at much lower prices.