07-01-2016, 10:04 AM
(06-01-2016, 11:19 PM)weijian Wrote:(06-01-2016, 08:56 PM)beau Wrote:(06-01-2016, 04:22 PM)weijian Wrote: I have read somewhere that pure statistical approach these days may only be profitable (or beat the benchmark index) for Japan net-nets, else-wise, this approach is not better off than an indexing one.
I would also like to know the source of this.
Anyway, I want to share probably my favourite research paper on net-net investing. I think this paper was done in response to all those who say Ben Graham's net net investing is outdated in today's era.
Ben Graham's Net Nets: Seventy-Five Years Old and Outperforming (2010)
http://csinvesting.org/wp-content/upload...rming1.pdf
hi CF and beau,
I tried googling again to recall the sources. It comes from James Montier's study in 2008 (I may have read his book 'Value Investing' ~1-1.5years back, which might also talked about it but I got no chance to verify it again as I have since returned the book to NLB though)
here is the link: http://www.netnethunter.com/japanese-net...r-foolish/ with the extract below:
In 2008, James Montier came out with a research paper titled, “Net-Nets: Outdated or Outstanding?”. In it, he surveyed the investment situation relative to Graham’s net nets on a global basis. What he found was that, of the 175 NCAV stocks available globally in 2008, over half were located in Japan. Following that lead, he took a look at what would happen if an investor put together a portfolio of Japanese net net stocks from 1985 to 2007.
As it turned out, the result of investing in Japanese net nets from 1985 to 2007 was fantastic. While the Japanese stocks as a whole provided investors with a compound annual growth rate of just 5%, Japanese net nets decimated the index with an excess return over the market of 15% per year, coming in at a CAGR of 20% for the period. Not bad!
By comparison, while US net nets performed better overall, they also benefited from a fantastic tailwind. Yet, despite the great investing environment from 1985 to 2007, American net current asset value stocks merely doubled the market return, while Japanese NCAV stocks beat the Japanese index by 200%!
After re-reading this, I do stand corrected on my previous statement that 'only Japanese net-nets if profitable/outperform the index'. The correct statement would be 'net-nets does outperform in the different geographies but in terms of beating its home index, Jap net-nets come out ahead'
Thank you. Very useful info for further reading.
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡