(15-02-2016, 10:38 AM)ksir Wrote: I'm rather positively suprise that Energy related unit was still throwing a bit of profit. Probably the worst is yet to come.
However the ESRI unit again had another bad Quarter. The business model may not as strong or as recurring as expected.
I was again pleasantly surprised by BP result.
Moving some of my capitals from BH to BP.
<vested near core>
ESRI is actually fairly resilient.
Geo-spatial revenue has dropped 17% this quarter, but its more accurate to look at the YTD figures, which shows that it has dropped 10% YOY.
However, much of this loss is actually due to the strengthening of the SGD vs the AUD
The AUD has weakened about 5% or so from Jan 2015 compared to end of 2015, so the "real" drop is probably around 5% only.
5% increase or decrease in most industries, would be merely normal volatility.
Rather, it is the energy division that has experienced a big drop (30%), but even that is considered fairly resilient seeing how worldwide, oil has been really battered.
As always, management has been honest, giving guidance that they expect the oil sector to remain depressed throughout 2016, and likely into 2017 too.
While nobody really knows how things will pan out (other than the Saudis), in the long run, it's never really been wise to bet against FF Wong.
However, as a upstream operator, I do think that even if oil prices recover, it will take several months before Boustead sees an uptick.
It will be a prolonged period of lean months/years, what is most crucial now is how Boustead utilises the cash hoard it has.
As we all know, the previous deal fell through, which is a major disappointment IMO.
I'm sure FF Wong is already looking at how to reinvest the capital, hoping for some good news in this regard.
<vested>