(11-05-2011, 03:42 PM)mrEngineer Wrote: Thanks for your explanation. I was interested whether you had access to information which I probably overlooked or non-public.
I always thought that ROCE was defined for capital employed for individual projects and capital employed is calculated with CAPEX including depreciation and working capital spent for the project. These information usually cannot be found publicly. Perhaps I am too influenced by the calculations done in my job.
I understood that you were thinking in term of projects !
Anyway, I wonder what people close to the matter may think of this Company.
I like the diversity of the businesses.
I like the prudence of the owner (at least what I perceive to be prudence).
One point is obviously that the div. yield is higher that the FCF yield, which means div. yield may not be sustainable at this level, unless the FCF increases. Which was one of the good points of the quaterly results imo.
So in the end, I would be tempted to say that the div could soon be sustainable.
Anyway, on a DDM basis, with a 8% return exigence, a -2% 5Y growth rate (a sort of margin of security), and a ad infinitum growth rate of 0% later on, one could put a S$0,436 value on this company. Provided the business remains sound.