14-08-2020, 04:36 PM
(14-08-2020, 01:38 PM)pianist Wrote: Based on the quarz straits Times news, they wish to see the company grow organically to serve its big ticket customers
, and has given a fair value of 66cent based on a 25% discount
I believe the 25% discount Quarz prescribed refers to stock market discount mainly because Teckwah is an illiquid second-liner stock, and a portion of their determined fair value is related to hidden value in Teckwah's HQ premises property (Pixie Red located in Tai Seng). Adding back the 25% discount, Quarz's fair value estimate would be $0.88, vs. Teckwah's latest 30Jun20 NAV/share at $0.681. This could well be conservative still, as Teckwah's logistics business which is a good earner has pretty good long-term growth potential, and therefore there should be good extra value in this business segment.
For the Offeror - which is a consortium comprising the 3 largest shareholders including the management - to offer the minorities $0.65/share, surely they are not looking at just an upside with a value of $0.88. It should be more, especially since they are prepared to spend quite a bit for this privatisation attempt, including having to borrow quite a chunk from OCBC and carrying the related risk and interest burden until they can tap on Teckwah's cash reserve to pay off the loan. At the end of day, good business logic must prevail in this kind of major move.