(04-08-2015, 11:23 AM)CY09 Wrote: Hi Bluekelah and Bibi,
Now its at 0.134. Any of you expressing interest?
Given this price, I am tempted to add more. But will decide first before moving. Personally feel the price does not justify the value of the business as penguin is a market leader with strong reputation. Of course, my main worry is a lack of demand for crew boat orders.
I dont know how much is the margin of error allowable at 0.134, but to me it seems there is a lot, given the cash, inventory, PPE and sustaining ferry services to tekong
<just bought at 0.133 @ 11.36>
CY09 hope you are holding on well, looks like your portfolio might have taken a big hit?
@1.34 Penguin is indeed looking very interesting. Valuation wise, it is now ~40% net cash to Mcap which is almost coming into my target range. MOS to NAV is also 40% discount liao.
However for a small cap with such large volume 2million+ traded today, it looks to me like there is a big sell off still ongoing. Considering that it was 20cent++ just not so long ago, when I posted about the risk of the high valuation and lack of MOS, I am not buying any until the sharp downtrend stabilizes a bit more.
This is what can happen when one invests in "growth" stocks saying there is value and prices chased up in a very short span of time.
Not sure where the bottom for Penguin will be, it may or may not revisit 10cent again, will let you know when start collecting, but that's probably when daily volume is much lower, then can quietly wack. By then the next quarterly result should be out. besides STI is still not touching below 3150 yet which will be 10% down from 3500 recent highs which will allow me reallocate 10% of cash into stocks
Also with jjlim84's "outsider" info, none of us should be buying at all until Penguin starts ordering more engines. Probably that's why Penguin was not forthcoming about its order book.
So far the only good news is that the baltic dry index has been creeping up the past few weeks. It could mean shipping sector is starting to recover?
-nv-