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(03-02-2014, 12:52 PM)felixleong Wrote: 80/20 is good, you still have 20% bullets to fire
I was 90/10, but now that the index has reached 3000 or less, I gonna hit 100% vested by end of this week.
The index may go lower... to say 2700, which was the level when we had the European crisis.
However I believe I do not have the ability to time the market bottom, it it goes lower to 2700 , 2500.. so be it, at 3000 I think I'm getting a decent price on the blue chips (example 11 times earnings on banks)and I would be quite confident in making at least 10-15% long term returns(say buying now and holding for a period of 3-5 years)
Would be happy if I could make 10-15% long term annual returns over my entire investing career.
Cheers ^^ any risk management plan you could advise?
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(03-02-2014, 10:04 PM)safetyfirst Wrote: I think it is smarter to not check the daily prices than to set a stop loss. Have you ever heard warren buffett, charlie munger or peter lynch ever talking about stop loss?
big fund managers like them cant use stop loss in the first place
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(04-02-2014, 10:58 PM)wahkao Wrote: [Image: cBodJuj.jpg]
Ha! Nice one.
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(04-02-2014, 11:37 PM)GPD Wrote: (04-02-2014, 10:58 PM)wahkao Wrote: [Image: cBodJuj.jpg]
Ha! Nice one. Ha! Ha!
Very funny but i think it's the truth for most people who are looking for "Getting Rich Quick" in the Stock Markets.
WB:-
1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.
Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.
NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
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(04-02-2014, 11:37 PM)GPD Wrote: (04-02-2014, 10:58 PM)wahkao Wrote: [Image: cBodJuj.jpg]
Ha! Nice one.
Stop at 9 & dont check the charts for next 6 months.
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(04-02-2014, 10:58 PM)wahkao Wrote: [Image: cBodJuj.jpg]
It is the states of mind, if you focus too much on price movement.
Value investors tend to focus on fundamentals, i.e. the IV. The IV will normally not as volitate as the price.
“夏则资皮，冬则资纱，旱则资船，水则资车” - 范蠡
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(04-02-2014, 05:46 PM)viruskbs Wrote: http://www.todayonline.com/business/emer...epage=true
jesse colombo is back with technical analysis this time.
Last week, I wrote a piece in which showed that Singapore’s Straits Times (STI) stock index was hovering above an important technical support level that needed to hold to avert a serious decline, including a likely bear market. I also showed several other technical warning signs that I said made further bearish action likely. Singapore’s recent stock rout started just days after I published a viral report in which I claimed that the city state’s economy was experiencing a bubble that would lead to a crisis when it eventually pops.
In the last two days, the STI has sliced below its key support level and is currently trading at 2,959 at the time of writing:
Straits1
Chart Source: Stockcharts.com
Looking at a longer time scale, the STI has broken both its wedge pattern and its two year old uptrend line:
Straits2
The STI has experienced a serious technical breakdown this week that is even more worrisome when considering the fact that Singapore has been experiencing a dangerous economic bubble in recent years. The STI’s breakdown has occurred at the same time as the technical breakdowns of several stock indices in the U.S. and Japan, which is a further confirmation of the bearish action in global financial markets.
sorry could not get the charts in, can anyone guide me how to get the pictures & charts into the forums
This time round will be interesting. Olam was a counter specific attack and I think Temasek defended well, What about a Macro country attack? Temasek will defend such accusation ? Its gonna cost them alot more..
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(05-02-2014, 09:27 AM)CityFarmer Wrote: (04-02-2014, 10:58 PM)wahkao Wrote: [Image: cBodJuj.jpg]
It is the states of mind, if you focus too much on price movement.
Value investors tend to focus on fundamentals, i.e. the IV. The IV will normally not as volitate as the price. Ha! Ha!
But price movements are related to "everything" in a stock viz a viz to a company, to a market, to economic sentiments. Another words you would think there is IV only not only the price is right but everything you can know of as much as possible-which is almost impossible.
WB:-
1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.
Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.
NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
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05-02-2014, 12:28 PM
(This post was last modified: 05-02-2014, 12:29 PM by valuebuddies.)
Apparently, some feng shui masters have predicted a bumpy year 2014, with strong Fire (one of the five elements in Feng Shui) that meltdown the Gold (finance and banking crisis?) and dry up the Soil (property crisis?). I am not a strong believer in Feng Shui and I do agree that Feng Shui has little to do with value investing, but some VBs might have sound knowledges in this area and it would be great if someone can share his view in Feng Shui aspects.
P/S: I am happy that I just scored 1000 points!
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