The Next Big Crash - Are You Prepared?

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STI down for 9th session; oil surges on Syrian tensions

http://www.todayonline.com/business/sti-...n-tensions

SINGAPORE — Worries over an imminent United States-led attack against the Syrian government boosted oil prices and undercut most global stock markets yesterday, with Singapore’s Straits Times Index falling for the ninth straight session, its longest losing streak in 11 years.

“The apparent certainty that military action against Syria is on its way has traders uncertain about what the repercussions will be for igniting a powder keg in an already volatile region,” said Capital Spreads analyst Jonathan Sudaria.

Benchmark US crude oil rose 2.1 per cent to US$108.18 a barrel while Brent crude jumped 1.7 per cent to US$112.62.

Gold for December delivery climbed 2 per cent to US$1,421.10 an ounce after having reached US$1,424.00, the highest since June 6.

The STI fell 1.6 per cent to close at 3,034.02, dragging the year-to-date performance to a 4.2 per cent decline. UOB shares fell 2.6 per cent, while those of DBS and SingTel shed 1.4 per cent.

US Secretary of State John Kerry, in his most forceful reaction to a suspected chemical attack in Syria last Wednesday, set the stage for possible military action when he said that President Barack Obama “believes there must be accountability for those who would use the world’s most heinous weapons against the world’s most vulnerable people”.

US Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel said American forces “are ready to go”.

The Middle East tensions added to the negative sentiment resulting from an expected scale-back of US monetary stimulus. Among the key Asian stock indexes, Japan’s Nikkei-225 Index lost 0.7 per cent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dipped 0.6 per cent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index bucked the trend to rise 0.3 per cent on positive economic data.

China’s industrial profit growth rebounded in July, with net income rising 12 per cent from a year earlier after gaining 6.3 per cent in June, the National Bureau of Statistics said. The data added to signs the world’s second-biggest economy was stabilizing after a two-quarter slowdown.

In late European trade, London’s FTSE was down 0.9 per cent, Germany’s DAX lost 2 per cent, while France’s CAC shed 2.2 per cent. In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.8 per cent lower about 10 minutes after the opening bell.

Meanwhile, there was no respite for the three emerging market “R” currencies due to concerns over the countries’ current account positions. Malaysia’s ringgit fell to a three-year low of 3.3348 versus the greenback before clawing back some losses to trade 0.7 per cent lower at 3.3312. Against the Singapore dollar, the ringgit fell a further 0.3 per cent to 2.5915.

The Indian rupee hit a new record low, falling 2.8 per cent to 66.075 to the US dollar despite central bank intervention. Indian shares also slumped, with the Mumbai Sensex down 3.2 per cent. The Indonesian rupiah slid 0.6 per cent to 10,848 per US dollar after hitting 10,883, the weakest level since April 2009, while the Jakarta Composite index fell 3.7 per cent to 3,967.84, the first time the benchmark had fallen below the 4,000 level in a year. - AGENCIES
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(27-08-2013, 10:32 PM)KopiKat Wrote:
(27-08-2013, 10:00 PM)camelking Wrote: here we go again.....

Put on your crash helmet, fasten your seat belt, brace yourself and ... wheeeee..... let's try to enjoy the ride, assuming we survive it....Tongue

In my case, sell low-beta (some call it defensive stocks) to free up cash, change target list (adjust for additional discounts depending on quantum of STI drop), wait for target to hit...

PS. Some also call it as sell winners to buy losers...

hmmm....what caused the plunge?

End of QE? Isn't it a good news? I mean, the biggest Economy in the world is recovering......Not good news?
War in Syria? Do they have oil? no, then US won't be interested....
China is crashing? They have been talking about it since....2008...

Data from Germany seems good.
Japan is trying to grow.

PE of STI is around 12.7 (source from sharesinv.com)

I agree it is good time to re-balance your shares
Panic? No...

Of course, i could be totally wrong.
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STI all red, holding at 3000 level

10th red trading day liao

(28-08-2013, 09:21 AM)camelking Wrote:
(27-08-2013, 10:32 PM)KopiKat Wrote:
(27-08-2013, 10:00 PM)camelking Wrote: here we go again.....

Put on your crash helmet, fasten your seat belt, brace yourself and ... wheeeee..... let's try to enjoy the ride, assuming we survive it....Tongue

In my case, sell low-beta (some call it defensive stocks) to free up cash, change target list (adjust for additional discounts depending on quantum of STI drop), wait for target to hit...

PS. Some also call it as sell winners to buy losers...

hmmm....what caused the plunge?

End of QE? Isn't it a good news? I mean, the biggest Economy in the world is recovering......Not good news?
War in Syria? Do they have oil? no, then US won't be interested....
China is crashing? They have been talking about it since....2008...

Data from Germany seems good.
Japan is trying to grow.

PE of STI is around 12.7 (source from sharesinv.com)

I agree it is good time to re-balance your shares
Panic? No...

Of course, i could be totally wrong.


how u think of the sti etf? down 11% liao over 3 months


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(28-08-2013, 09:56 AM)felixleong Wrote: STI all red, holding at 3000 level

10th red trading day liao

I am also looking at the STI, at the end of day everyday. At around 3000, which is lower than beginning of the year.

Time to closely monitor those stocks in the monitor list, and work harder to recycle fund, but so far no big bargain around IMO..Big Grin
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
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Shopping time... after such a long wait...
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Not panic yet. Can't sense any panic in the market. This red carpet going to continue.
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really no bargain ah?
STI already dropped 400 points from 3400 to 3000 point, maybe the cyclical stocks are really not popular

I think 3000 and 2700 are good buying levels

hard to go below 2700 unless it gets worse than the previous European crisis
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I also want to buy but not much bargain find, only bought capitaland and city dev.
Very compelling to buy reits but have to control myself...
The thing about karma, It always comes around and bite you when you least expected.
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We talk a lot about margin of safety in this forum. So is 10 or 20% decline good enough margin of safety?
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward

Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
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(28-08-2013, 11:15 AM)specuvestor Wrote: We talk a lot about margin of safety in this forum. So is 10 or 20% decline good enough margin of safety?

Well, 20% is typical, but turning more greedy, and looking at 30% or more...

Might turn more greedy upon more fear in the market...Big Grin
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
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