The Next Big Crash - Are You Prepared?

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the thing about industrial properties is that it seems MIT is the weakest here since they are 38% exposed to mannufacturing. yet they say their tenants stayed for a long time.

majority have become warehouses. aims amp have 75% of warehouse, cache 100%, sabana near 50%, MLT are warehousing and logistics all over.

would we need so much warehouse? that is a play of Singapore as a commerce hub and have less to do with the cost of labor.

furher more perhaps in 2017, the keppel port will be moving, hence the demand to fulfill close by warehousing facilities.
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(08-06-2013, 10:41 AM)Temperament Wrote: and for below average "hybrid investor" who tries to do as little homework as possible, of course you know which one. Ha! Ha!
And will you sell SIA ENGG now @$5.0+ ? i will.

why sell SIA ENGG now?

give it more time, I think it will hit $6+.
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Dear Forumers,

If the discussion is on a specific company, please post on that company's thread. Thanks.
Specuvestor: Asset - Business - Structure.
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[Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=1m&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

OMG! Nikkei crashed 20% in past 2 weeks!



[Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=1y&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

Wow! Nikkei up 50% in past year!



[Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=my&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

OMG! Nikkei lost for nearly 3 decades!
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Ya lol! Who say buying an Index fund is always safer than buying an individual stock? Is STI ETF safer?
WB:-

1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.

Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.

NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
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buying an index and holding it for over 20 years is very safe, 99% chance will not lose $$

unless its nikkei hahaha
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(08-06-2013, 04:31 PM)swakoo Wrote: [Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=1m&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

OMG! Nikkei crashed 20% in past 2 weeks!



[Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=1y&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

Wow! Nikkei up 50% in past year!



[Image: z?s=%5eN225&t=my&q=l&l=off&z=m&c=%5ESTI,...&region=US]

OMG! Nikkei lost for nearly 3 decades!

Lost generation.......Sad
My Dividend Investing Blog
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Indeed they are the lost generation.
When i was sent to Tokyo for some products training, i became quite friendly with one of the Japanese. I told them i thought i understood why Japan started the 2nd WW. i asked him where he thought the Japanese originated? He said that the Japanese might be originated from somewhere in the West or some unknown island from Indonesia or somewhere.
You see indeed they are really the lost generation. So you have the Nikke Index lol!
WB:-

1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.

Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.

NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
Reply
(08-06-2013, 06:25 PM)Temperament Wrote: Ya lol! Who say buying an Index fund is always safer than buying an individual stock? Is STI ETF safer?

Or we can also ask "is stock investing safe over the long-term?"
Some financial salesmen who sells equity-related products will pull out a chart showing the long-term performance of STI. Their sales pitch goes like "As long as you ignore the short-term fluctuations and hold on, your investment will work out. See this multi-decade performance of the STI, S&P500 etc". Of course, they always leave out the Nikkei. I am wondering, even if Nikkei is included, we should ask "did the average Japanese fund managers who charge more outperform the Nikkei?"

Whether equity investment works or not is very much dependent on timing and geography. Long-term Japanese investors lost after the bust in the 1990s. Nikkei hasn't recovered back to pre-bust level yet after more than 2 decades. Long-term Nasdaq investors lost after the dot-com bust in 2000. Nasdaq hasn't recover back to pre-bust level yet after more than 1 decade. It took Dow Jones 2.5 decades to recover back to its pre-bust level after the great crash in 1929. Retirees are finished if they invested at the wrong time.

Besides timing and geographical risk, don't ignore political risk. The worst groups of investors that I can think of in history are the Chinese and Russian investors before the eve of the Communist takeover. They lost everything. 100% permanent loss of capital. To add insult to injury, they were punished and discriminated for their wealth by the Communists. For rich people who are unconcerned about wealth inequality, think of what happened to the rich when society revolts providing the catalyst for the emergence of the anti-rich Communists.
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Trust yourself only with your money
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(09-06-2013, 08:42 AM)hyom Wrote:
(08-06-2013, 06:25 PM)Temperament Wrote: Ya lol! Who say buying an Index fund is always safer than buying an individual stock? Is STI ETF safer?

Or we can also ask "is stock investing safe over the long-term?"
Some financial salesmen who sells equity-related products will pull out a chart showing the long-term performance of STI. Their sales pitch goes like "As long as you ignore the short-term fluctuations and hold on, your investment will work out. See this multi-decade performance of the STI, S&P500 etc". Of course, they always leave out the Nikkei. I am wondering, even if Nikkei is included, we should ask "did the average Japanese fund managers who charge more outperform the Nikkei?"

Whether equity investment works or not is very much dependent on timing and geography. Long-term Japanese investors lost after the bust in the 1990s. Nikkei hasn't recovered back to pre-bust level yet after more than 2 decades. Long-term Nasdaq investors lost after the dot-com bust in 2000. Nasdaq hasn't recover back to pre-bust level yet after more than 1 decade. It took Dow Jones 2.5 decades to recover back to its pre-bust level after the great crash in 1929. Retirees are finished if they invested at the wrong time.

Besides timing and geographical risk, don't ignore political risk. The worst groups of investors that I can think of in history are the Chinese and Russian investors before the eve of the Communist takeover. They lost everything. 100% permanent loss of capital. To add insult to injury, they were punished and discriminated for their wealth by the Communists. For rich people who are unconcerned about wealth inequality, think of what happened to the rich when society revolts providing the catalyst for the emergence of the anti-rich Communists.

What will you suggest or do to avoid these "traps"?
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