Edited....
To correct they should collect about $60m trade receivables in 4Q2013 instead of $161m. The remaining $100m should be collected within a year.
http://www.ura.gov.sg/lad/HBG/progressPayments.htm
(11-11-2013, 06:29 PM)Behappyalways Wrote: Collected $165m cash and another $161m trade receivables which should be collected in 4Q2013. And not to forget cash from Waterwoods too....(if 20% payment for contracted sales of $129.7m then amount would be around $26m)
3Q2013 Result
http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/SHL3Q201...eID=263596
My two cents worth.....
I think the management tries to keep a net debt to equity ratio of around 1.1...so right now (3Q2013 ratio is 0.9) they are having more than 'required' cash and it will increase in 4Q2013...
So the question is how are they going to utilise it? In normal times they will try to build up landbank but looking at the EC sale(Waterwoods) I think they would be very hesitant now especially in bidding for EC land when you can only launch the project 15 mths after the sites were awarded. Very hard to project what will happen in 15 mths especially with deteriorating sales in the property market now......
so a few scenarios...
1. to landbank when there is a good plot, or to pay for the development charge if Robin site plot ratio gets increased
2. to pay a special dividend
3. to privatised hence not subject to Qualification Certificate and maximise profit in Robin site
To add I did a simple calculation of 2013 EC supply and there are about 1500 units that remains unsold (including Waterwoods and yet to launch Skypark Residence) so if you have 6-9 mths with no supply of EC and upgraders having to looking into exisiting pool. So you need to sell about 200-250 units per mth to deplete the existing pool. So by the end of TOP, Waterwoods should be close to fully sold and upping the price is a right move.....although many would disagree