28-02-2014, 11:34 AM
(28-02-2014, 10:10 AM)yawnyawn Wrote: I left out the underperforming Telecom segment which was highlighted by OSK DMG in the below report
Middle East North Africa (MENA) telecom business the key disappointment.
Although management previously expected its Nera branded point-to-point radio products to excel in the MENA region, actual results proved a disappointment. Revenue for this segment declined by 63.7% y-o-y in 4Q13 and 10.3% y-o-y for the full-year. NeraTel said this was due to intensifying competition as well as the group’s selectiveness in undertaking projects.
Management provided the example of two projects valued at about SGD10m in aggregate that were not undertaken on their poor payment terms and weaker margins. On the other hand, new order wins for this segment also decreased 7.6% y-o-y to SGD67.6m.
Going forward, we expect the expiry of the Nera product distributorship agreement in January will boost the group’s competitiveness. NeraTel can not only retain the Nera brand, but is also able to distribute other companies’ products. It will even be able to redesign/reengineer the Nera products to achieve cost competitiveness. Hence, we expect growth for this segment to pick up again this year.
http://research.dmg.com.sg:9898/UploadPD...140224.pdf
I agree that Neratel is no longer cheap but its price is supported by the dividend. Myanmar is upside but more immediate upside is probably their African business which is being ramped up but is currently producing only overhead and no revenues. If Nera can rrpeat its success it North Africa/Pakistan/Afghanistan then Africa could be a major contributor. The stock could also re-rate to a higher PE multiple as the recurring revenues from POS and ATMs increases.