Just read the Amfraser report on Innovalues and I cant help but create a spoof version for Fischer. So here goes
Booming automotive market.
The automotive markets in China have rebounded and been growing steadily after the global financial crisis and are expected to continue growing. Notwithstanding new customer acquisitions will add a further boost to Fischer in the coming years.
Strong bottom‐line growth through margin expansion.
Although we are conservatively expecting revenue to grow at about 7% over the next 3 years, its resultant earnings is expected to grow at 3‐yr CAGR of 25% between FY15‐FY17F through margin expansion via higher capacity utilisation and lower debt expense.
Higher dividends post balance sheet clean‐up.
Fischer has been progressively paying down its debt over the last 3 years, and has been net cash since 2Q12 (yup, this is not a typo!). Along with its strong FCF, the company is now in a position to increase dividends.
We expect total dividends for FY15 to be increased to 0.7 Scts (4.3% yield) vs. 0.6 Scts in FY14 and FY13, and continue to grow going forward.
Positive insider activity.
Recently, its Chairman Mr. Foo Meng Tong and CEO Mr. Tan Choon King, have made a large stake purchase at $0.16/share and is now offering a takeover for other shares they do not own.
Clearly undervalued.
Fischer is currently trading at 6.74x FY14 P/E with an expected CAGR of 25% for the next three years.
Given its growth prospects, its balance sheet strength and higher prospective dividends, we believe it would be undemanding to value Fischer at 10x FY16F P/E, which translates to a target price of S$0.38.
Disclaimer: This is not a investment report but a parody of Amfraser's report. Please do not base your investment decision on this joke or the joke will be on you!