14-07-2011, 12:09 AM
Using NAV to calculate portfolio performance
I would like to consult in the other case...where one has a "full stock portfolio", no holding cash,
Trying to work out the sums but it did not really make sense. Would be grateful if anyone could point out my error. End of Month 1 Bought $15,000 of A A : $15,000 #of units : 15,000 NAV : $1 Month 2 Point when purchasing $18,000 of B A : $14,000 (dropped by $1,000) #of units : 15,000 NAV : $0.9333 B : $18,000 Additional of 18,000/0.9333 = 19,285.78units Total # of units : 34,285.78units NAV : $0.9333 End of Month 2 A : $14,000 B : $20,000 (appreciated by $2,000) NAV : ($14,000+$20,000)/34,285.78 = 0.9917 I have a qn then. Looking at total returns, we have a +$1,000 return at the end of Month 2 right ($34,000 - $15,000 - $18,000)? But the NAV reflects that there's a loss of 1%? How is this re-conciled?
14-07-2011, 01:19 AM
yyt Wrote:I have a qn then. Looking at total returns, we have a +$1,000 return at the end of Month 2 right ($34,000 - $15,000 - $18,000)? NAV takes into account the fact that different amounts of money were at work for different amounts of time. In month 2 the loss was 6.7% ($1k/$15k). In month 3 the gain was 6.25% ($2k/$32k). Compounding the 2 returns results in a final net decrease in NAV. Essentially you bought more units when the NAV was down, so even before NAV had returned to the original $1 you had already made some gains. This is equivalent to averaging down - your average cost goes down so you break even and start making money at a lower price point.
14-07-2011, 09:28 AM
hi d.o.g,
you mentioned before that dividend is equivalent to a share sale. but using that calculation, the NAV still remains the same and no of units decrease. getting a dividend will decrease my per share cost. but how does NAV account for that? treating dividend as a share sale does not show up any positive impact to the NAV.
14-07-2011, 07:32 PM
changwk Wrote:you mentioned before that dividend is equivalent to a share sale. If the fund is considered to be 100% invested all the time, then dividends must be treated as a sale of units. Since the sale is at NAV there is no change to NAV. HOWEVER you must calculate the NAV on the day the shares go ex-dividend. Effectively, on that day, your fund consists of shares + cash, and you need to value the total to get the NAV per unit. Then you reduce the number of units to reflect the fact that the cash is being removed from the portfolio. You need to calculate NAV every time you put money in or take money out, whether this is from new purchases, sales or dividends. The "dividends decrease your per share cost" effect is reflected in your decreased cost for the entire portfolio.
14-07-2011, 11:09 PM
On a similar note, Margin Interests is considered as purchase of units.
18-07-2011, 07:49 AM
Ah.........
Maths is really headache for some people; it's definitely for me. Fortunately, there are a lot of soft-wares in the markets helping (stupid) people like me. Just make sure every types of transactions regarding shares are entered correctly. i not sure the software i am using is really good or not but one thing i am sure is i see my assets increasing yoy. i use it since day one. In fact software can track anything regarding $$$. i only learn or interested to use for tracking share portfolio and assets. Don't ask me how good is the software i am using. i am using it at my own risks. Ha! Ha! Just like buying shares at my own risks. As i have declared, Ah......... maths
WB:-
1) Rule # 1, do not lose money. 2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1. 3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money. Truism of Investments. A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return. NB:- My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
18-07-2011, 11:23 AM
hi,
thanks to d.o.g for the explanation. i have spent the last few days calculating my NAV. it was tough initially because i was new to the process. I decided to start the calculation from 2011. i used end of 2010 portfolio value as my base. So i had to back track all calculation for every transaction (buy, sell, div) from 2011 onwards. once the hard part is done, the future entries should be much easier and faster. it's good to know your investment performance by looking at the NAV.
26-07-2011, 09:22 AM
hi,
I have a clarifying question. Let's say that in a particular day, you have multiple transactions eg multiple sells, buys and div to account for in the NAV calculations. For example, I have 2 sell transactions in day X. what should be the method to calculate the NAV? Step 1: get new portfolio value at end of day X Step 2: include stock A into the NAV Step 3: add stock A to the portfolio and get new portfolio value Step 4: include stock B into the NAV OR Step 1: get new portfolio value at end of day X Step 2: include stock A+B into the NAV Both methods will give you a different answer.
26-07-2011, 12:30 PM
changwk Wrote:I have a clarifying question. Let's say that in a particular day, you have multiple transactions eg multiple sells, buys and div to account for in the NAV calculations. There seems to be some confusion. NAV is calculated BEFORE any transactions occur. All the transactions are netted off in dollar value, then the net amount is applied to increase/decrease the number of units. So you calculate the NAV first, then you adjust the number of units. Worked Example: Portfolio Value at day end (BEFORE any transactions): $10,000 Number of Units: 1,000 NAV per unit: $10.00 Sell Transaction #1: $5,000 Buy Transaction #2: $2,000 Net Transactions: -$3,000 Change in Units = -$3,000 / $10.00 = -300 New number of units = 1,000 - 300 = 700 The next day, the portfolio value is calculated again, this time with the revised stock list. |
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