17-11-2017, 11:30 PM
This IPO caught my eye because Target Asset Management, a well known, investment firm based on value investing approach is a corner stone investor.
In short, I am less than one-third done reading 600++ page offering document and I have found quite a bit of risks. Since I am still pretty new to value investing (2 years), I probably am missing something.
Just want to share my inputs
a) This appears to be extremely high ROE (about 70+% based on 2016 audited figures) It appears that equity is very depressed. I gathered that the PE of about the high 30s to 40. I guessing investors (or should I say bankers) are pricing this as a growth stock, with growth coming from overseas. Locally, the firm warns that they might meet into government-led competition through the efforts of the National Institute of Early Childhood Development (Singapore)
b) There is no proof that it can replicate its business overseas successfully. So far the company has made a few acquisitions in Australia. The deals itself are foggy, but I am still reading. It seems to me that if the company depends on overseas for growth, betting on it now seems early.
c) I believe the selling point of this company is franchising its operation. But for the past three years, its "Company-Owned-Company-Operated" (COCO) still is the major bread winner for the firm. About 60-70%. This is despite much of the one-off fee from franchising already collected, as wrote in page 104.
d) Day Sales Receivable went up pretty rapidly. 2014 (82.64 days), 2015 (87.473) and 2016 (107.09 days).
e) Not the healthiest balance sheet around.
Is there something that I am missing out?
Offering Document can be downloaded here:
https://www.shareinvestor.com/news/news....nid=168776
In short, I am less than one-third done reading 600++ page offering document and I have found quite a bit of risks. Since I am still pretty new to value investing (2 years), I probably am missing something.
Just want to share my inputs
a) This appears to be extremely high ROE (about 70+% based on 2016 audited figures) It appears that equity is very depressed. I gathered that the PE of about the high 30s to 40. I guessing investors (or should I say bankers) are pricing this as a growth stock, with growth coming from overseas. Locally, the firm warns that they might meet into government-led competition through the efforts of the National Institute of Early Childhood Development (Singapore)
b) There is no proof that it can replicate its business overseas successfully. So far the company has made a few acquisitions in Australia. The deals itself are foggy, but I am still reading. It seems to me that if the company depends on overseas for growth, betting on it now seems early.
c) I believe the selling point of this company is franchising its operation. But for the past three years, its "Company-Owned-Company-Operated" (COCO) still is the major bread winner for the firm. About 60-70%. This is despite much of the one-off fee from franchising already collected, as wrote in page 104.
d) Day Sales Receivable went up pretty rapidly. 2014 (82.64 days), 2015 (87.473) and 2016 (107.09 days).
e) Not the healthiest balance sheet around.
Is there something that I am missing out?
Offering Document can be downloaded here:
https://www.shareinvestor.com/news/news....nid=168776