Human Capital

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#1
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An investor’s total wealth consists of two parts: financial capital and human capital. Financial capital includes tradable assets such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, real estate and commodities. Human capital, while often overlooked when building a portfolio, consists of the economic present value of income for future labor.
Understanding Human Capital
Typically, young investors starting out their wealth accumulation have more human capital than financial capital. On the other hand, a retired worker has more financial capital than human capital, as her wealth-accumulation phase probably has come to an end. Exceptions apply in some cases – young millionaire entrepreneurs, for example. However human capital should be considered an asset with its own unique risks and rewards in all investing cases. Also, it is important to keep in mind that human capital’s correlation with the stock market is an important element of asset allocation and should not be overlooked when making any type of investment decision. (For more on human capital see Human Capital: The Most Overlooked Asset Class.)
The purpose of diversifying assets is to generate the maximum return with the lowest risk. Thus, human capital should be thought of as an asset class that should be part of every portfolio. While illiquid and non-tradable, human capital should be a key driver for the portfolio needs of an investor and should be hedged by financial capital – not the other way around.
One of the key aspects for understanding the value of human capital is taking into account its risks. Characteristics and risk types of human capital differ for different individuals. They can be classified as equity-like or fixed income-like, based on the profession or income-generation activity of the investor. In building wealth, investors should balance the risk level of their human capital with the risk level of their financial capital.
The following cases illustrate how human capital can be considered a risk-free or a risky asset, and how it could be used in the development of asset allocation decisions.
Case 1: Risk-Free Human Capital
The simplest example of human capital is a young professor, who hypothetically will have her job secured for life. The salary and retirement income that she is entitled to are thought to have the characteristics of a fixed income bond. The monthly salary is considered the monthly coupon, and the retirement income is the principal. Thus, her human capital can be considered to be fixed, risk free and with low-to-no correlation to the stock market. Also because she is a young professor, it is possible to infer that her human capital is at its highest value in her portfolio. As human capital in this case acts like a risk-free fixed income bond, an optimal portfolio should also include risky investments including equity and alternative investments. This will help her diversify and create a more efficient portfolio throughout her lifespan. With time however, it is important to consider that the portfolio will need adjustments as the young professor's human capital will decline as a percentage of total wealth. This adjustment would include adding or increasing the proportion of risk-free assets in later stages of her life.
Case 2: Risky Human Capital
The above case is an unrealistic example used for illustrative purposes. Realistically, human capital is rarely risk free. Human capital is uncertain and, therefore, risky. However, the extent of riskiness is different from one investor to another.
For example, the profession of stockbroker is considered to have volatile income depending on external factors. A stockbroker's income is likely to fluctuate with the performance of the stock market and the economy in general. Thus, a stockbroker's human capital is risky compared to other asset classes, as well as highly correlated to the stock market. It is usually an optimal portfolio strategy for a stockbroker to have the majority of her financial capital invested in risk-free assets, i.e. fixed income. However, note that as a stockbroker ages she would probably have more financial capital than human capital in her portfolio. Thus, her human capital will not remain as risky over her life and will require some adjustments in her portfolio.
Case 3: Realistic Human Capital
Most individuals are not professors or stock market professionals and thus have human capital at moderate risk levels. Depending on the risk level and the correlation of the human capital to the stock market, an investor's portfolio should be diversified accordingly. For example, a schoolteacher is likely to have a different investment portfolio than a businessman. Usually, the job of schoolteacher is considered to be less risky than that of a businessman. Thus, a schoolteacher would construct a more efficient portfolio if she invests in riskier assets than a businessman.
Case 4: Human Capital When Retired
In the case of someone retired or about to retire, human capital has most likely diminished entirely and all that is left in a portfolio is financial capital. Retirees have less chance to recoup any losses, so a portfolio for retirees usually includes very low-risk assets including bonds, annuities or securities that would offer steady, secure income. The steady income in this case is replacing the human capital income that an investor would have had at the start of his or her income-generating life.
The Bottom Line
The above example illustrates the incorporation of human capital assets into an investor's mindset. Although not easily quantifiable and seldom used in reality, this concept should be an important element in the asset allocation decision of every portfolio. Understanding human capital assists in capturing the entirety of the investor’s unique risks, returns and constraints – characteristics that are fundamental for effective portfolio management. (For more on portfolio management read Preparing For A Career As A Portfolio Manager.)

NB:-
Any opinion on this article?
Is it true when young with a lot of “HC”, you can speculate a lot more?
Up to never mind even if bankrupted?

(Anyway, I had put all our (included wify's) “assets & worth” into the market when i 1st went into the market at the age 40. I have never done it again. Because I think I don’t have to do it again. Besides i think it is foolishness + GREED if I do it again.)

What I know is my wife’s relatives who are specialists in private practice earn about $1 million each/year (remember the word each) for both husband and wife. Do you think they are interested in or have time for the stock markets? Do they have to take the risks like me – calafei (HK’s slang)?

What ?
I never say you same as me lah !
Cheers!
WB:-

1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.

Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.

NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
Reply
#2
Q1) Any opinion on this article?
Is it true when young with a lot of “HC”, you can speculate a lot more?
Up to never mind even if bankrupted? -

A1) YES! of cos! Big Grin

Q2) (Anyway, I had put all our (included wify's) “assets & worth” into the market when i 1st went into the market at the age 40. I have never done it again. Because I think I don’t have to do it again. Besides i think it is foolishness + GREED if I do it again.) -

A2) SEE, you recovered while you are still fit and healthy! Big Grin just hope you are more "learned" now! Big Grin don't "showhand" unless you got confident! Tongue

Q3) What I know is my wife’s relatives who are specialists in private practice earn about $1 million each/year (remember the word each) for both husband and wife. Do you think they are interested in or have time for the stock markets? Do they have to take the risks like me – calafei (HK’s slang)? -

A3)Rich or Poor, as long as the interest/knowledge is there, people will invest! Big Grin maybe not stock market, but properties, gold...etc..
1) Try NOT to LOSE money!
2) Do NOT SELL in BEAR, BUY-BUY-BUY! invest in managements/companies that does the same!
3) CASH in hand is KING in BEAR! 
4) In BULL, SELL-SELL-SELL! 
Reply
#3
(04-10-2014, 09:53 PM)brattzz Wrote: Q1) Any opinion on this article?
Is it true when young with a lot of “HC”, you can speculate a lot more?
Up to never mind even if bankrupted? -

A1) YES! of cos! Big Grin

Q2) (Anyway, I had put all our (included wify's) “assets & worth” into the market when i 1st went into the market at the age 40. I have never done it again. Because I think I don’t have to do it again. Besides i think it is foolishness + GREED if I do it again.) -

A2) SEE, you recovered while you are still fit and healthy! Big Grin just hope you are more "learned" now! Big Grin don't "showhand" unless you got confident! Tongue

Q3) What I know is my wife’s relatives who are specialists in private practice earn about $1 million each/year (remember the word each) for both husband and wife. Do you think they are interested in or have time for the stock markets? Do they have to take the risks like me – calafei (HK’s slang)? -

A3)Rich or Poor, as long as the interest/knowledge is there, people will invest! Big Grin maybe not stock market, but properties, gold...etc..
OF course, properties lah!
And confidence can't guarantee you anything.
WB:-

1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.

Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.

NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
Reply
#4
My two cents: If wan to speculate, why not consider buying toto instead? Its much less hassle, the risk reward is well defined and suitable even when rch old age. Equities probably more suitable for gradual accumulation of wealth, than sudden.
Reply
#5
(06-10-2014, 12:09 PM)smallcaps Wrote: My two cents: If wan to speculate, why not consider buying toto instead? Its much less hassle, the risk reward is well defined and suitable even when rch old age. Equities probably more suitable for gradual accumulation of wealth, than sudden.
Ha! Ha!
You have just reminded me i had posted an article about you want to get rich slowly or quickly or nor at all. Yes we forget about people who are "not at all".
The Beatles-Hey Jude
WB:-

1) Rule # 1, do not lose money.
2) Rule # 2, refer to # 1.
3) Not until you can manage your emotions, you can manage your money.

Truism of Investments.
A) Buying a security is buying RISK not Return
B) You can control RISK (to a certain level, hopefully only.) But definitely not the outcome of the Return.

NB:-
My signature is meant for psychoing myself. No offence to anyone. i am trying not to lose money unnecessary anymore.
Reply
#6
(06-10-2014, 12:09 PM)smallcaps Wrote: My two cents: If wan to speculate, why not consider buying toto instead? Its much less hassle, the risk reward is well defined and suitable even when rch old age. Equities probably more suitable for gradual accumulation of wealth, than sudden.

My view. Toto and investments are all speculations. If Toto or 4D can give me positive expected return (probability adjusted risk reward) due to better payoffs, I would 'Tay4' toto/4D also.Though the capital involved would be huge.

An related article I read a few years back. OT.
http://www.wired.com/2011/01/ff_lottery/all/
"... but quitting while you're ahead is not the same as quitting." - Quote from the movie American Gangster
Reply
#7
(06-10-2014, 04:15 PM)opmi Wrote:
(06-10-2014, 12:09 PM)smallcaps Wrote: My two cents: If wan to speculate, why not consider buying toto instead? Its much less hassle, the risk reward is well defined and suitable even when rch old age. Equities probably more suitable for gradual accumulation of wealth, than sudden.

My view. Toto and investments are all speculations. If Toto or 4D can give me positive expected return (probability adjusted risk reward) due to better payoffs, I would 'Tay4' toto/4D also.Though the capital involved would be huge.

An related article I read a few years back. OT.
http://www.wired.com/2011/01/ff_lottery/all/

Agree that equities could be speculation or investment. The key is that this 'pointer' could be adjusted towards investment, through careful selection of which stocks and price at which to buy, based on proven value investing criteria. And yes, if one can find ways to adjust the 'pointer' for toto, then it would be an investment.
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