If You Can't Lose,You're a Loser

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#1
If You Can't Lose,You're a Loser

Jul 29, 2014, By Barry Ritholtz

Lately, I have been hearing an interesting type of argument. It is a form of debate that is both disingenuous and dishonest. We will call this the “Can't Lose Argument,” or CLA. Worse than confirmation bias, it is a money-losing exercise in narcissism.

The CLA goes something like this: A data point will be mentioned, and no matter what the net change in that data -- up, down or neutral -- it is somehow bad for markets. Stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, all are fair game for the CLA.

Let me share a few examples of it:...............................................

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If you aren't occasionally wrong, then you aren't trying hard enough or taking enough calculated risks. Having a method to verify when you are in error is a sound bit of trading advice.

Beware those who are never wrong.

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/20...re-a-loser
Research, research and research - Please do your own due diligence (DYODD) before you invest - Any reliance on my analysis is SOLELY at your own risk.
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#2
It's called falling in love with your stock/ ideas. Thats why it is so important to know the basis of buying a stock so that when that basis change its time to reassess rather than change the tune but sing same song. Thats where the term perma-bear or perma-bull comes from. I always remember the old adage that even a stopped clock is right TWICE a day

I am always wary of people who never had a losing or wrong idea. Either they are dishonest or they have not gone through the baptism of fire yet. Either way they are probably not the best reference for ideas.
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward

Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
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