29-07-2014, 10:14 PM
If You Can't Lose,You're a Loser
Jul 29, 2014, By Barry Ritholtz
Lately, I have been hearing an interesting type of argument. It is a form of debate that is both disingenuous and dishonest. We will call this the “Can't Lose Argument,” or CLA. Worse than confirmation bias, it is a money-losing exercise in narcissism.
The CLA goes something like this: A data point will be mentioned, and no matter what the net change in that data -- up, down or neutral -- it is somehow bad for markets. Stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, all are fair game for the CLA.
Let me share a few examples of it:...............................................
................................................
If you aren't occasionally wrong, then you aren't trying hard enough or taking enough calculated risks. Having a method to verify when you are in error is a sound bit of trading advice.
Beware those who are never wrong.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/20...re-a-loser
Jul 29, 2014, By Barry Ritholtz
Lately, I have been hearing an interesting type of argument. It is a form of debate that is both disingenuous and dishonest. We will call this the “Can't Lose Argument,” or CLA. Worse than confirmation bias, it is a money-losing exercise in narcissism.
The CLA goes something like this: A data point will be mentioned, and no matter what the net change in that data -- up, down or neutral -- it is somehow bad for markets. Stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, all are fair game for the CLA.
Let me share a few examples of it:...............................................
................................................
If you aren't occasionally wrong, then you aren't trying hard enough or taking enough calculated risks. Having a method to verify when you are in error is a sound bit of trading advice.
Beware those who are never wrong.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/20...re-a-loser
Research, research and research - Please do your own due diligence (DYODD) before you invest - Any reliance on my analysis is SOLELY at your own risk.