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if i remember correctly, some experts said a few months back that Big G targettting a 20- 30% correction.
if that is the case, they may not have reached there threshold for withdrawing the cooling measures yet.
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MAS said "average" LTV is 47%.
If Down 30%, LTV still 67%. Still can get loan refi and no top-up call from banks.
If individual LTV is 70%, drop 30%, LTV will be 100%. cannot loan refi, kenna margin call.
Govt should remove those special stamp duties when market prices drop 10-20%.
But not now.
"... but quitting while you're ahead is not the same as quitting." - Quote from the movie American Gangster
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16-01-2014, 05:53 PM
(This post was last modified: 16-01-2014, 05:53 PM by valuebuddies.)
when cooling measures started to kick in bit by bit, the prices continued going up. Likewise when cooling measures start to be withdrawn one by one, IMO it still won't be so fast for prices to soften.
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Most people never kenna margin call before so most people have no understanding or fear for it, until too late. Ask the directors of Blumont
Even in crisis banks are generally reluctant and slow to margin call property backed loans, even in 1998; as long as people pay their monthly.
This is a structural advantage for property investment and part of the positive reinforcement bias.
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward
Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
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mmm...
Then, my conclusion is More curbs should be coming...
Until the Gov is convinced that the growth is controlled.
A Life not Reflected is a Life not Worth Living.
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(16-01-2014, 05:53 PM)valuebuddies Wrote: when cooling measures started to kick in bit by bit, the prices continued going up. Likewise when cooling measures start to be withdrawn one by one, IMO it still won't be so fast for prices to soften.
Would withdrawal of cooling measures actually send a message to buyers/sellers that the market is not doing well and going downwards? If yes, will that deter investors from the market and result in a negative feedback loop?
I am not a certified financial advisor and so nothing of what I say should be construed as financial advice. Please consult a certified financial advisor for advice instead.