Posts: 229
Threads: 2
Joined: Feb 2012
Reputation:
0
23-08-2014, 02:22 PM
(This post was last modified: 23-08-2014, 02:22 PM by ValueBeliever.)
As oil company tightens, rig re-hire gets more competitive and attrition will most likely to happen to those aspiring to be in deeper waters to take on higher risk for higher return end up defaulting on loan.
Jasper impact on Keppel will be small change but it may sent shock wave if you go check all the rig majors are trading below their 50days MA and 100days MA is hovering near.
An over extended 20year cycle just ended. With so much uncertainty in Middle East and sanction in Russia, yet oil is going down.
Posts: 820
Threads: 12
Joined: Jun 2012
Reputation:
7
No matter the prospects, buy only companies that are able to prosper while maintaining unassailable balance sheets.
Posts: 229
Threads: 2
Joined: Feb 2012
Reputation:
0
Be very careful on revenue and cost structure when industry cycle turn. Very often structural problem takes longer time and deeper cuts but before any Co. can make meaningful adjustment to a lack of revenue flow while fixed operation cost is saddled in a state resistance to change. They got used to revenue flow and had pile on too much cost.
The domino effect is taking hold on wall st. and it will take months for the fund to par down their holdings. Balance sheet cannot make a difference between good and bad Co. when the industry impact all, it only a matter of time that the good will also fall, when the worst got dump months back.
Posts: 3,732
Threads: 6
Joined: Oct 2012
Reputation:
95
I think smallcaps is talking about biz valuebeliever is talking about share price
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward
Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
Posts: 2,744
Threads: 23
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation:
25
The first nail is when they refurbish the ship into a drillship at
peak of the boom.
Another lesson here is to avoid companies run by fund managers. In this case, Ashmore.
"... but quitting while you're ahead is not the same as quitting." - Quote from the movie American Gangster
Posts: 229
Threads: 2
Joined: Feb 2012
Reputation:
0
The fact that this Co. has veteran management from Maersk and Ensco did not help. So much for European/American expertise in Singapore Inc.
The Co. had their time when oil price was high and can masquerade its debt and rusty drillship asset injection.
Looks like Singaporean are getting tired of financing this false oil rig sector economy. The day of reckoning is near. Who is going to pump Jasper back to life - definite not Singaporean.
Posts: 9,841
Threads: 711
Joined: Mar 2012
Reputation:
64
The company has a negative equity, and the last closed price was 0.5 cents per share. The offer price is 0.04 cent per share. The IFA recommendation sounds right to me.
(not vested)
Reject unfair takeover offer for Jasper Investments, says adviser
19 Oct 2015 10:00
By Melissa Tan
AN independent financial adviser (IFA) to the board of offshore company Jasper Investments has recommended that shareholders reject a $0.0004 per share takeover offer for the firm, calling it reasonable but "not fair".
The unfairness was due to the offer price's huge discount to historical trading prices for Jasper shares, it said in a circular that Jasper Investments filed on the Singapore Exchange on Monday morning.
"The independent directors may wish to consider advising shareholders who are not prepared to accept the uncertainties facing the future prospects of the group and who wish to realise their investment in the company to sell their shares in the open market if they can obtain a price higher than the offer price."
Jasper's independent directors also said in the circular that they agreed with the advice from the IFA, Tata Capital Markets.
...
Source: Business Times Breaking News
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡