VICOM

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FINANCIAL UPDATE FOR 3RD QUARTER & YTD SEP 2020, go read! Big Grin

• The 3Q 2020 results were still
impacted by the effects of COVID19 but have gradually improved in
the post Circuit Breaker period
and were also mitigated by the
Government Reliefs.
• The Group has returned to
profitability in 3Q 2020 as
compared to a loss in 2Q 2020
before Government Reliefs.
• Strong and resilient balance sheet
• Healthy cash balance of $89.2
million
• CAPEX incurred mainly on the
progressive payments for
“Additions & Alterations” works at
the new premise in Bukit Batok
with deferring of non-essential
CAPEX to conserve cash
• Net cash generated of $8.4 million
during 3Q 2020


Quarter on Quarter 2020
Q1 2020 – Performance normal and not impacted by COVID-19;
Q2 2020 – Performance impacted by effects of COVID-19 and Circuit Breaker.
The Group would have incurred an operating loss of $1.3 million if Government Reliefs of $3.8 million was
excluded.
Q3 2020 - Performance improved after exiting from Circuit Breaker on 2 June 2020
The Group’s operating profit was $6.2 million if the Government Reliefs of $2.1 million was excluded.

3Q 2020 versus 3Q19
• Revenue ↓$4.2 million – Lower revenue mainly from lower business volumes affected by the impact of COVID-19.
• Operating Costs ↓$3.9 million – Contributed by COVID-19 Government reliefs of $2.1 million in Jobs Support Scheme, waiver and rebates of
Foreign Worker Levy and lower operating costs of $1.9 million. The decrease in operating cost mainly from lower staff costs and other
variable cost in tandem with lower revenue.
• Operating Profit ↓$0.3 million – Lower revenue offset COVID-19 Government reliefs and lower operating cost.
• PATMI ↓$0.3 million – As a result of the above and lower interest income offset by lower tax expenses.
YTD Sep 2020 versus YTD Sep 2019
• Revenue ↓$15.5 million – Lower revenue mainly from lower business volumes affected by the impact of COVID-19.
• Operating Costs ↓$9.8 million – Contributed by COVID-19 Government reliefs of $5.9 million in Jobs Support Scheme, waiver and rebates of
Foreign Worker Levy and lower operating costs of $3.9 million. The decrease in operating cost mainly from lower staff costs and other
variable cost in tandem with lower revenue.
• Operating Profit ↓$5.6 million – Lower revenue offset by COVID-19 Government reliefs and lower operating cost.
• PATMI ↓$4.5 million – As a result of the above and lower interest income offset by lower tax expenses.
In summary, the results for 3Q 2020 and YTD Sep 2020 were impacted by the effects of COVID-19 but mitigated by the Government Reliefs
mainly from the Jobs Support Scheme as well as waiver and rebates on Foreign Worker Levy and lower operating cost.
1) Try NOT to LOSE money!
2) Do NOT SELL in BEAR, BUY-BUY-BUY! invest in managements/companies that does the same!
3) CASH in hand is KING in BEAR! 
4) In BULL, SELL-SELL-SELL! 
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At 2.02 / 2.03 range, IMHO, this stock is a safe bet to get 3-3.5% dividends each year plus a capital appreciation of your investment of around 10-15% when things get better (possibly 6-18 months?) ..
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VICOM has been expanding its payout ratio in the past few years - from 80% of NP in 2015 to >100% of NP in the past 3 years. Of course, it can do that (pay >100% of NP) due to its prior years of conservative payout and also its high quality FCF.

IMHO, I feel a "safe bet" when we based it on dividends, is really a safe bet (ie. the odds are for you), only when the payout ratio is low. That is not really the case for VICOM. A "safe bet" on VICOM, is therefore when prices drop instead.

That said, it is a boring business that forms part of a portfolio. Frees one's time to do other things in life or spend time digging other companies that gives "high return of brain power".
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VICOM's dividends from 80% of NP in 2015 to >100% of NP in the past 3 years = cash cow of COMFORTDELGRO which is demanding cashflows to fill the voids effects of COVID19 on it's biz...

at share price now, it's hardly a fair price...in-fact, it over-priced after the 1 for 4x split action taken which was pretty lucky timing!...

anyhow, DYODD! Big Grin
1) Try NOT to LOSE money!
2) Do NOT SELL in BEAR, BUY-BUY-BUY! invest in managements/companies that does the same!
3) CASH in hand is KING in BEAR! 
4) In BULL, SELL-SELL-SELL! 
Reply
Have you all done the latest numbers ?

Don't know why. I do a quick compute and if we remove the special, the latest earning which is on recovery = div distributed on prior years. So looks sustainable to me and it could grow with the recovery too.

Just my Diary
corylogics.blogspot.com/


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(13-11-2020, 10:53 PM)corydorus Wrote: Have you all done the latest numbers ?

Don't know why. I do a quick compute and if we remove the special, the latest earning which is on recovery = div distributed on prior years. So looks sustainable to me and it could grow with the recovery too.

hi corydorus,
I have the numbers on my spreadsheet. But I will probably let the Chairman of VICOM be my spokesperson here.

Below is extracted from page3 of AR19:

Though the present dividend policy is to distribute 90% of our profits, the Board of Directors decided to maintain its practice since 2017 of paying out 120% of its profits for 2019.

That said, my comments are not targeted at whether the "dividends are sustainable" or not. To me, they look sustainable because VICOM has ample cash and CDG needs the money. But whether this is a "safe bet" would be altogether another question.
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(14-11-2020, 05:34 PM)weijian Wrote:
(13-11-2020, 10:53 PM)corydorus Wrote: Have you all done the latest numbers ?

Don't know why. I do a quick compute and if we remove the special, the latest earning which is on recovery = div distributed on prior years. So looks sustainable to me and it could grow with the recovery too.

hi corydorus,
I have the numbers on my spreadsheet. But I will probably let the Chairman of VICOM be my spokesperson here.

Below is extracted from page3 of AR19:

Though the present dividend policy is to distribute 90% of our profits, the Board of Directors decided to maintain its practice since 2017 of paying out 120% of its profits for 2019.

That said, my comments are not targeted at whether the "dividends are sustainable" or not. To me, they look sustainable because VICOM has ample cash and CDG needs the money. But whether this is a "safe bet" would be altogether another question.

I believe that' the special div portion ? Cannot confirm as I can't tell from the dividend announcement. However, using annual dividend of 9.32 cents, hits 4.6% yield.

Not bad for such businesses at this time and at current low rate as I don't see their business will be weaker in the future. I would think even electric car needs them to checks and certify.

The catalyst will be good growth and that needs money. An offensive problem. But is a good filler though risk unequal from bonds or preference shares.

Just my Diary
corylogics.blogspot.com/


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Special dividends were declared from FY18 results due to sales of HQ, and paid in 2019.

But it really doesn't matter. NP includes the 1 time gain from HQ and we are not talking about absolute numbers but as a ratio to the NP.
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Hi. I have been a shareholder of Vicom since 2006. The share price has never been cheap. Always trading ard 4.5% to 5.5% dividend yield.

Personally I do not think Vicom is attractive at current price. Investors looking for a “safe bet” will may consider Haw Par and Great Eastern. Both have long history and solid financials. Although their current dividend yield is only 3%, but it represents less than 50% payout ratio. Haw par is trading 0.8x book while GE is trading less than 0.6x of its embedded value.
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Vicom posts 14% fall in FY2020 net profit to S$24.5 million

FY20 final dividend 6.22cents (FY19 6.07 cents final dividend + 3.5275 cents interim dividend)

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/compani...45-million
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