China Sunsine Chemicals Holdings

[Young Investor]

Share price hit $1.30 this morning. Wondering whether it is going up too fast......

[Bluechipfan]

2 days to the FY17 results. With the substantial profit growth guidance, I guess the market should have more or less priced it in by now. Instead, I hope to see more information on capacity expansion in the press release. It will be great if there is confirmation on the operation date for the new production lines. Notwithstanding the 20% payout policy and the prudent attitude of the management, I hope the dividend can be higher than the expected 2 cents excluding the already paid .5 cent.

[Bluechipfan]

China Sunsine's FY17 earningsup 54% to $71.4 mil on higher ASPs
By: 
PC Lee
28/02/18, 05:43 pm
SINGAPORE (Feb 28): China Sunsine Chemical Holdings, the specialty rubber chemicals producer, reported 4Q earnings doubled to RMB132 million ($27.6 million) from a year ago.

4Q17 revenue grew 58% to RMB873.3 million compared to RMB553.4 million in 4Q16, mainly due to the increase in both overall average selling price (ASP) and sales volume. ASP in 4Q17 increased by 40% to RMB22,384 per ton from RMB16,000 per ton a year ago and 21% as compared to that in 3Q17. The increase in ASP was due to the continued short supply situation in 4Q17 resulting from the stringent environmental protection inspection and higher raw materials costs which allowed the group to increase its ASP.

Sales volume in 4Q17 increased by 13% mainly due to the short supply of rubber chemicals situation in China which continued in 4Q17, and many rubber chemical producers failing to meet the requirements of environmental protection laws and regulations, thereby adversely affecting their production. During the quarter, gross profit rose 103% from RMB143.8 million to RMB291.2 million. The average gross profit margin (GPM) also improved 7.3 percentage points to 33.3% from 26.0% a year ago mainly due to the higher ASP.

For FY17, the group’s revenue grew 34% to RMB2.74 billion compared to RMB2 billion in FY016, boosted by strong demand and the significant increase in ASP. The overall ASP climbed 30% to RMB19,398 per ton in FY17 from RMB14,956 per ton in FY16. GPM in FY2017 rose 2.3 percentage points from 26.5% a year ago to 28.8%.

Selling and distribution expenses increased by 4% to RMB75.7 million mainly due to higher freight cost and incentives which was in line with the growth of sales volume. Administrative expenses increased by 32% to RMB227.8 million mainly due to the increase in staff incentive, R&D expenses and safety production cost. As such, earnings in FY17 escalated to RMB341.3 million or $71.4 million, up 54% from RMB221.7 million in FY16.

During the year, China Sunsine says sales volume of accelerators, insoluble Sulphur (IS) and anti-oxidant products increased by 1%, 11% and 7% respectively. As a result, total sales volume for FY17 reached a new record high at 140,476 tons. Sales to both domestic and international markets continued to grow.

In its outlook, the group has completed the new Phase I 10,000-ton TBBS production line and 10,000-ton IS production line in Ding Tao facility in FY17. Trial-run applications for these two projects to the relevant government authorities had been submitted and are pending approval. The construction of the expansion of Guangshun Heating Plant with addition of one boiler and one generator is completed, and is now undergoing the machinery testing. Management is confident to start the trial-run by 2Q18.

The board is recommending a final one-tier tax exempt dividend of $0.025 per ordinary share. This is on top the interim dividend of $0.005 per share.

Shares in China Sunsine closed 1 cent higher at $1.28 on Wednesday.

Above summary by The Edge. Unprecedented results and yet there may be room for further growth with the new 10,000t TBBS and 10,000t IS slated to start production this FY. Going forward hopefully the company will increase dividend payout ratio to 30% or higher.

[JonRobin]

A new bullish long-term has just started. With such a high eps, it is a bargain at the moment. Patience is necessary.

[Young Investor]

CIMB latest analyst report is below. They have revised the target price to $1.62. 


https://brokingrfs.cimb.com/1F6EzGhnjrvC...5CLVC0.pdf


A report on the 13th National People’s Congress mentioned that the amendment to give President Xi a lifetime term was presented after Premier Li Keqiang warned that the country is fighting "three critical battles" against financial risk, poverty and pollution.

http://www.tnp.sg/news/world/historic-me...esident-xi

[Young Investor]

Today, share price went through a roller coaster. It recovered to $1.39 during noon and closed at $1.26. Could it due to the trade war between China and US?

[Bluechipfan]

Today, share price went through a roller coaster. It recovered to $1.39 during noon and closed at $1.26. Could it due to the trade war between China and US?

The whole market is down and will be down more, unless US and China u turn fast on potential trade war. The underlying economy is healthy and the natural way is for the stock market to continue trending up. Hence, I have a 'perverse' sense of wishing to see some corrections taking place so that the overall valuation of stocks price can be cheaper and weak holders can exit the market. Historically, stock markets have many corrections but ultimately, the stock market will resume the upward movement riding on the underlying healthy economy. Trade war or not, I am sure this correction shall pass too.

[tiongkokgor]

Today, share price went through a roller coaster. It recovered to $1.39 during noon and closed at $1.26. Could it due to the trade war between China and US?

Rubber accelerators are essential addictive in tyres. China produces about 70% of the world's rubber accelerators.

US will need to produce more tyres if imports of Chinese tyres are reduced.

Wouldn't US tyres manufacters need to buy more rubber accelerators from China?

[portuser]

China's tyre exports were badly hit by US import duty. The following article states that in 2016, Canada became the top tyre exporter to the US for the first time, replacing China which lost 45.6% of its 2015 tyre export value to the US:
 
http://www.tirebusiness.com/article/2017...ng-partner

Tyre factories all over the globe have to meet the rising demand for tyres, hence the need for more rubber chemicals.  

Wheras Chinese tyre companies in 2016 exported much less to the US, China Sunsine, the largest rubber accelerator producer, sold more to overseas tyre makers: 

...........Sales volume (tonnes)
.............Domestic....Export 
2014.......71,459......37,459
2015.......78,226......36,346
2016.......91,728......44,063
2017.......95,560......44,916

[tiongkokgor]

Inferior quality locally made tyres in China are known as 不三包轮胎 and manufacturers do not provide warranties for these tyres. There are no returns, no replacements or repairs. These tyres are the ones that end up in overseas markets at below market prices.

To counter the tariffs imposed by some countries on Chinese tyres, Chinese authorities want tyre makers to improve on quality and efficiency and not compete on prices. This had led to tyre price increases, branding focus, more tyre recalls, less 不三包轮胎 in the Chinese market, production capacity expansion locally and overseas.

For tyres produced in the overseas factories, there are no or lower tariffs imposed by US.

http://auto.163.com/17/1227/09/D6LCJDP6000884MM.html

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business...83783.html