Posts: 2,113
Threads: 19
Joined: Dec 2010
Reputation:
5
the significant associate is GP battery, which is very illiquid. If it was to simply use market price for its valuation, it would be very easy for the management to jack up the price of GP battery and make the balance sheet look very good(how to do it? just look at Aspial).
I think that it is fair to use equity method rather than mark-to-market valuation to account, though, how much discount/premium to apply for the valuation of GP Industries is completely a different question.
Posts: 2,808
Threads: 170
Joined: Sep 2010
Reputation:
1
is this a fair deal?
how to gauge?
Posts: 473
Threads: 18
Joined: Jan 2011
Reputation:
7
12-02-2013, 11:25 PM
(This post was last modified: 13-02-2013, 06:40 PM by touzi.)
1. It is interesting to find out from the AR that GPI uses rare earth (magnet) for their acoustic products. Since China is a rare earth producer that will mean that they will be less affected in the event of worldwide shortage.
2. The latest buyback occurred in Jan and the highest price done was the 12 month high of 48.5 cts. Does that mean that delisting is unlikely? Why would the majority shareholder want to push the price higher if they intend to delist? Any comments? Thanks.
3. Notice another thing. The total NAV (not per share) of GPI has been falling for the last 5 years. What should one make of this? Thanks!
Posts: 3,176
Threads: 630
Joined: Sep 2010
Reputation:
26
Upon completion of disposal of Shanghai Jingting Automobile Harness Limited, GP Industries will be flushed with about 62.8 million sgd.
In view of the inefficient holding structure between Gold Peak and GP Industries, and the eagerness of Gold Peak to increase the shareholding in these years, I think a probability for a GO is high. Or am I daydreaming ?
<vested>
Specuvestor: Asset - Business - Structure.
Posts: 34
Threads: 2
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation:
0
with so much cash (60 over million) , why don the company pay the shareholders a one off special dividend ?
Is the battery business dependant on the global automotive industry ?
Posts: 2,808
Threads: 170
Joined: Sep 2010
Reputation:
1
how do u know the structure is inefficient
Posts: 3,176
Threads: 630
Joined: Sep 2010
Reputation:
26
(20-05-2013, 10:01 PM)pianist Wrote: how do u know the structure is inefficient
Gold Peak has no other mayor businesses except this GP Industries.
Specuvestor: Asset - Business - Structure.
Posts: 329
Threads: 20
Joined: Apr 2012
Reputation:
8
Interestingly, they seem to be doing a lot of share buy back in GP Industries
Disclaimer :-
I am not an investment professional.
I encourage you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that I write about, because I could be and probably am wrong.
Nothing written here is an invitation to buy or sell any particular stock.
At most, I am handing out an educated guess as to what the markets may do.
The market will always find a new way to make a fool out of me (and maybe, even you!).
Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it.
I am not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of mine will probably be followed by failures