So today i was free and went to attend to TTJ's AGM,
Brief report of TTJ AGM - 28/11/2019, 2.30pm @ Wikiedge@RSM Chloe Meeting Room Level 3,
Crowd of 40+ pax, met 2 regulars seniors, long term shareholders since IPO at 20cts.
Direct, frank and honest management team, just ask your questions and they try to answer!
Company Organisation question,
1) Chairman Teo will not delist/privatised the company, for future plans, they must remain listed (banks take away their umbrella in the storm before they are listed, now banks come to TTJ with many umbrellas even during sunny days!!), any expansion in new biz, will relied on cheap money instead.
2) 10 quarters of contractions, and 3 quarters of expansion, construction biz does not look good...
3) Appreciation of the 0.004 dividends...
4) Chairman Teo still look strong and fire in the belly with his replies, that's good to see and know! firm handshake too!
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Core Biz question, - Structural Steel in construction segment
1) Chairman Teo admits that business cycle is not good for past 3 years, figures charts says it all.
2) Current order book of 182milos, will run for 3 years until 2022, estimating about 60milos per year, (take cue from profits 4milos per year)
2) 1000 tons project in burnei was setup through existing local client, good paymaster, not going into malaysia/indonesia...
3) PPVC biz is risk-added, and out-bidded by over 20 competitors with loss margin... not going to enter this market, admit losses and cut losses.
4) Scary to come from Chairman Teo, "new contracts must at least breakeven"... reflects how bad the construction biz is, think 1997/98..etc..
3 years ago, he was saying "profit margin must make sense!" ... reality hurts! :O
5) Maintain the bottom line!!! - 38 years of same principals!
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New Biz question - Biomass biz division - overseen by COO, Mr Elvarasu,
1) Will introduce more presentation/visual graphics next year reporting on this new biz
2) Somehow there is a link between Nparks/subcontractors/ supplier of raw materials to this processing Biomass plant biz... it's quite a vague link at the moment, Chairman Teo is saying it's the First in Singapore, so that meant something...Npark is the usecase in this sense.
3) 6k to 8k ton/month = 72K/100k tonnes/annual capacity - Thailand plant will be operational by end 2020, so 1 more year and counting to see how it works...location of plant is in FTZ as toyota, question of insurances, floodings, safety risk assessment is deem sufficient by management.
4) Singapore Plant @Shipyard road will be same 72K/100k tonnes/annual capacity - and will require CAPAX 10-15 milos over 2 years, 2020 to 2021 progressively
5) About 30milo to setup a biomass plant each, get certifications..and start supplying in contracts!
6) Buyers are gov power plants contracts in Thailand /Baht, Korean US$, Japan US$. (end of year, power plant partial shut down for 3-4 weeks maintance)
7) It's not a commodity, it's a fixed term supply contract
8) Tight-lipped about the cost and profit margins, please do your own guessitmate!
alibaba shows FCC grade wood pellets, it's retail priced US$80 to US$100 per ton, with 20% bulk discount to gov contracts, so estimate, got 1x plant x US$64/ton x 72Ktons/annual = US$4.5 millions per year revenue for 1 plant... 2x plants = US$9 millions, safety margin discount 30% = US$6 millions, happening in 2022...we'll have to track it via the thai plant first for 2020 to 2021 revenue + US$3 milos?....
exciting!
9) It's not a new technology, it's proven technology, and certified by FCC/TUV/BV.
10) Anyone with 30milos can setup a biomass plant.
11) Political risks associated with environment, greenpeaces, deforestation, carbon credits and equals...etc... noted!
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Main take-away,
1) No rights issues needed.
2) Core biz division - Structure Steel Division - hang in there, tough cycle forseen, maintain profitability, or for 2020 term - at least break-even...!!!! :O :O :O
3) New biz division - Biomass Division - Going online with Thai plant first and soon, subsequently SG plant... to monitor closely, on revenue and profit margins..
4) Chairman will try his best to give out/increase dividends for YR2020, 1 ct is 3 milos to him personally, (85% share-holder
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Hope i didn't miss any!