21-06-2023, 10:55 AM
What you can make will depend on your time frame, the market you trade and your investment style.
I think that the base return must always be the stock index of the market you invest in. If you don’t perform better than this, you might as well be an indexer.
The table below shows the returns from various markets taken from my post ‘baby steps into the investment universe part 1"
You can see even if you have a 20-years investment horizon, you can still lose money buying the index in some regions.
If you invest in the wrong market, no amount of skills is going to help. But if you happen to invest in the "right" market, you can easily make money.
So you can be skillful and lose money if you happen to be in the wrong market. Personally I think this was what Bursa Malaysia was like over the past few years.
Warren Buffett has said that his success was due to being in the US. Of course he is now going international in a bigger way.
Moral of the story - maybe it is better to invest globally so as to hedge your bets.
I think that the base return must always be the stock index of the market you invest in. If you don’t perform better than this, you might as well be an indexer.
The table below shows the returns from various markets taken from my post ‘baby steps into the investment universe part 1"
You can see even if you have a 20-years investment horizon, you can still lose money buying the index in some regions.
If you invest in the wrong market, no amount of skills is going to help. But if you happen to invest in the "right" market, you can easily make money.
So you can be skillful and lose money if you happen to be in the wrong market. Personally I think this was what Bursa Malaysia was like over the past few years.
Warren Buffett has said that his success was due to being in the US. Of course he is now going international in a bigger way.
Moral of the story - maybe it is better to invest globally so as to hedge your bets.