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It sounds like the less successful players are exiting the business. Perhaps more consolidation is coming.
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10-04-2024, 12:28 AM
(This post was last modified: 10-04-2024, 12:43 AM by Curiousparty.)
(08-04-2024, 12:37 PM)weijian Wrote: When iFAST acquired the UK bank (now renamed as iFAST Global bank), I was a short and long term pessimist. The short term turned out to be right (normally it does, because of the way the capital cycle works). But Chairman/CEO/Founder Lim is calling out my long term pessimism as well. He will probably be more right than me as he has schooled me that "banking is the least competitive part of the finance sector".
We believe that several years down the line, shareholders will be able to see that our decision to buy a full-licensed UK bank in early 2022 has been a transformative move which substantially raises the Group’s long-term growth potential. In our view, banking is the least competitive part of the financial sector, as there tends to be very few new players in the banking industry in most countries. There are far more players in fund management, stockbroking and wealth management distribution and advisory, and many new players are emerging every year.
IFAST AR23:
https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/iFASTCorp...eID=794401
i have benefited a lot from holding iFast since $1...nothing much to complain about... only time will tell if his words came true... The first BIG event will be the breakeven of iGB segment by Q4 2024....which is just 9 months away....Need about $1Bil cash deposit to generate about $10mil NI income ($1bil x 1%) to offset the expenses for the IGB segment. Doable? Cash deposit in Q4 2023 came in at around $150mil. So we just need about $200mil for 4 more quarters...Hopefully optimistic...
Customers' deposit was $358.62mil (as of end Q4 2023)....
Every $1bil of customer deposit will contribute to about $10mil revenue or ~$1 valuation ( $10mil x PE 30/295mil shares).
iFast's strategy is to onboard 1 mil new clients, with each bringing about $10 to $20k over the next few years.
Assuming 15K per client, that will be $15bil new customer deposit or $15 valuation from IGB alone.
- not forgetting that iFast still has the e-pension business, generating about $80mil to $100mil net profit at steady state &
- the core wealth management business ( $1bil AUA margin = 0.7%; iFast target is $100bil by 2030)
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https://fintechnews.my/40964/ai/ifast-in...t-5-years/
As part of its expansion, iFAST Global Hub.ai plans to invest over RM 150 million and hire 400 digital talents over the next five years.
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/events-...come-truly
Lim noted that the cash market for retail investors is not properly developed, and iFast is aiming to get more clients from Asia on board.
“That kind of ease of use, and then good interest rate ... that’s something that most banks don’t want to provide,” he said. “Just being able to provide a simple service and then giving a decent rate for the simplest product. That’s a starting point ... From there, some of that will flow to other investment products.”
The way Lim sees it, getting one million clients for the bank in five years is a reasonable target.
“If on average, each of them just put S$10,000-S$20,000, that’s already S$10-20 billion,” he said.
[I am not here to promote any stocks. Please always do your own research before embarking on any investment decision. I will not be liable for any of your own decisions. Your use of any information or materials is entirely at your own risk. It is your responsibility to ensure that any products, services or information meet your specific requirements. I do not produce material which meets the objectives of any specific financial and risk profile of investors.]
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14-04-2024, 08:39 PM
(This post was last modified: 14-04-2024, 08:41 PM by Curiousparty.)
iFast's current market capitalization is only $2 billion, which is a very tiny drop in the world of finance..
(need to bear in mind that iFast only has $295mil shares)
Even if it didn't achieve that Big Dream, i would think that $5b to $10b market capitalization would be easily achievable given time for iGB to collect more customer's deposit.
$16 to $30+ share price is not inconceivable in the next 5 years from TODAY....(e.g. $50b AUA x 1% margin = $500mil net profit or $1.7 EPS. Assuming PE =20, $34...)
In the long run, perhaps Chairman Lim’s perspective will prevail, emphasizing the unique dynamics of the banking sector. After all, as the saying goes, “time will tell.”
[I am not here to promote any stocks. Please always do your own research before embarking on any investment decision. I will not be liable for any of your own decisions. Your use of any information or materials is entirely at your own risk. It is your responsibility to ensure that any products, services or information meet your specific requirements. I do not produce material which meets the objectives of any specific financial and risk profile of investors.]