08-03-2024, 10:21 AM
(06-03-2024, 07:50 PM)dzwm87 Wrote: My opinion is that Dairy Farm is poorly managed. First off, they are not a pure play grocery retailer in Singapore. While diversified across Asia, there are too many moving parts and you really need all of it to work well in order to see a meaningful profit recovery.
Just some observations:
- In Singapore, Giant and CS have been cutting down stores from a peak of 123 in 2013 to around 100 in recent years. Downsizing leads to negative operating leverage.
- Anecdotally, I also noticed that DFI's fresh food quality isn't that good. Something is just not optimal about their supply chain - at least in Singapore.
- In Indonesia, Hero Supermarket's big box hypermarkets lost market share to minimarts as consumer behavior changed. It's almost close to a decade and they are still in the midst of optimizing their real estate mix.
- In Hong Kong, the new 'tripping north' trend could potentially lead to sales pressure for Wellcome.
- China's Yonghui Superstore is also losing out to community group buy as Meituan and Pinduoduo compete in this space.
- Philippines' RRHI is decent but again too diversified across too many different retail formats.
- Lastly, all that talk about its private label Meadows and they have yet to see a meaningful margin expansion. I find this the most puzzling as Meadows is already dominating most of the shelf space.
Hi dzwm87,
Thanks for sharing your insights!
I guess its inherently difficult to manage a multinational empire unless you have good set of country managers.