(24-02-2014, 07:44 PM)AlphaQuant Wrote: 1) Bedok Point is a bad buy - everyone could see that malls without direct MRT access are not ideal. Anchorpoint also suffers from the same problem. Subsequently I will come to understand the nature of Bedok does not help - it's a town with a dense network of neighbourhood shops which makes shopping at the mama shops rather convenient unlike some other towns. So from the POV of these 2 malls, one gets the impression that FCT is not perfect when it comes to acquisitions.
Bedok Point
Forecast NPI for forecast period 2012:
7002K (from acquisition circular)
Actual NPI for 1st 4 full quarters after acquisition:
8060K (from quarterly results)
Actual NPI for last 4 quarters:
7350K (from quarterly results) probably mainly due to 39 renewals 16% lower than preceding rentals and 80% occupancy only as space is being outfitted for new tenants.
Whether this becomes a bad acquisition will depend on how well management repositions the mall as they have said they are now doing - introducing anchors and getting destination tenants.
Anchor Point
Forecast NPI for 2007:
1479K (from IPO prospectus)
Actual NPI for last 4 quarters:
4650K (from quarterly results) - there was a major AEI along the way.
Thought this was an outstanding inclusion in the original portfolio. Though it is not directly connected to an MRT station, value could still be extracted from it.
Quote:I do not fancy them getting a good price for Changi City Point when the time comes either.
A fair price would be a good price - are you feeling they will not even get this?