(04-04-2019, 11:46 PM)pianist Wrote: How do u know if there are fakes in the 8% or the eventual 10%?
Great question! You can never be 100% sure. Just like Challenger also does not know how many minority shareholders who have not contacted Pangolin but will vote no on the day.
Personally, I think it's quite silly for a person with zero shares to spend time and effort to contact Pangolin. Nothing to gain.
You might ask - what if the fakes are planted by Challenger? Possibly. But as Weijian says, they are taking a huge reputation risk as they're considered related parties under the Code. For example, if they indicate to Pangolin they will vote no, it is potentially disclosing that Challenger intends to revise the offer, which isn't allowed by the takeover code. Very huge personal risks for them with not much upside.
From my understanding, when compared to other delistings, we are already at 8% at this stage is very quick.
The closer we are to the 10%, the less likely the resolution is going to pass on the EGM. If Challenger thinks the 10% are all fake, they should go ahead with the EGM and take a gamble. They need to spend money on organising EGM with the possibility of a failed vote. This unnecessarily wastes management time from the business and spend monies from staying listed longer. Or Challenger can make a practical calculation on what is a reasonable offer so that they can delist in the most efficient way. It's really up to them.
@ Pianist - how do we know if you're not fake?