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Maybe a year end stock sale is coming =D
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(10-09-2016, 01:56 PM)newborn1000 Wrote: Maybe a year end stock sale is coming =D
certainly hope soo!
Need a correction to pick up value stocks for next May 2017!
1) Try NOT to LOSE money!
2) Do NOT SELL in BEAR, BUY-BUY-BUY! invest in managements/companies that does the same!
3) CASH in hand is KING in BEAR!
4) In BULL, SELL-SELL-SELL!
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Haha it will be really funny if there is another stock crash happen just as trump is elected.
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possible!
november trump may happen!!! !
1) Try NOT to LOSE money!
2) Do NOT SELL in BEAR, BUY-BUY-BUY! invest in managements/companies that does the same!
3) CASH in hand is KING in BEAR!
4) In BULL, SELL-SELL-SELL!
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Spice it with fed rate hike, and relatively quiet devaluation of RMB. For years bets were on appreciating yuan. What's the impact ? I think year end is risky.
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The share prices in US market are very high and global investment funds are now returning to Asian markets. Hong Kong stock market has been rising during past 6 weeks and now Hang Seng Index is creeping up to 24,000 levels.
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I believe PE ratio is now over 20 for US share market but PE ratio for Hong Kong and Singapore market is about 13 . So I am expecting the US market to fall and Hong Kong and Singapore markets to rise as global investors transfer their investment funds back to Asia region .
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13-09-2016, 02:19 PM
(This post was last modified: 13-09-2016, 02:30 PM by specuvestor.)
What is strange to me is that markets in the past 6 months have been extremely sanguine and reactive. One can argue Brexit is a surprise but how can rate rise be a surprise?
“There is one point which is critical to understand,” Fischer said. “When we raise the interest rates which we will probably do one day, from zero to 25, from 25 to 50 basis points, we will be moving from an ultra-expansionary monetary policy to an extremely expansionary monetary policy.”
http://www.valuebuddies.com/thread-4576-...#pid109851
(17-02-2015, 08:32 AM)specuvestor Wrote: Monetary policy has to be set by economic conditions and impact to the system. The fed has signalled way ahead of their intent to reduce sudden shock to the system, the market had been notified and corporates can only blame themselves. As per my previous posts, i think Fed is trying to normalise the real rates rather than just look at inflation per se.
http://www.valuebuddies.com/thread-6244-...#pid107151
I remain convinced that the Fed is trying to move to a real rate scenario without killing the market too much, not because inflation is rising or growth is overheating etc, though this is becoming a contortionist act. My guess is 1 hike a year and Fed funds will go above 1% before any halt.
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward
Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)